Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Hurricane Forecast

As of Wednesday morning, EDT, Tropical Cyclone Nilofar is located approximately about 540 miles southwest of Karachi, Pakistan. Nilofar is moving at 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 120 mph with gusts to 150 mph.
Nilofar is forecast to turn more to the northeast over the next 24 hours and begin to weaken due to an increase vertical wind shear along with an intrusion of dry air.
Nilofar is expected to make landfall later on Friday night near the border of far-western India and Pakistan. Although Nilofar is forecast to weaken significantly, heavy rain and gusty winds are still expected to impact the region where the center makes landfall.
This is well west of Nepal and should only be a rain event once Cyclone Nilofar comes ashore.
In the image below to the left is Oman on the Arabian Peninsula and at the top is Pakistan. To the upper right is India. Nepal is 1,000 miles east of the storm.

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